The Nwankama Blogs

Most recent blogs:

Sonoma State University President, Dr. Mike Lee, Ousted Over Explosive Pro-Palestinian Email

This post is about pro-Palestinian protests igniting more chaos: arrests, expulsions in US college campuses, and Sonoma State University president being ousted for his willingness to concede to the protesters' demands.

By Nwankama Nwankama, May 23, 2024

Here is a list of the most recent blogs published here at nwankama.com.

Arranged according to date published; most recent, first.

Please note that readers' comments are disabled on the blogs.

Is ADHD Overdiagnosed for Profit? Unraveling Myths and Spotlighting Truths

Exploring ADHD beyond myths of overdiagnosis for profit, revealing the complexities of a misunderstood condition and the importance of accurate information, early intervention, and comprehensive care.

By Mercy Nwankama, January 3, 2024

How Can You Feel Safe When US Giants Fall to International Hackers?

In a world where digital shadows loom large, not even the titans of U.S. industry stand unassailable. How can you protect your organization?

By Nwankama Nwankama, March 25, 2024

Nigeria's Tribal Tirades on Facebook: How Bigotry Erodes Shared Progress

Discover how a simple Facebook post about Nigeria’s first primary school ignited a storm of tribal tensions, revealing deep-seated biases and highlighting the challenges to national unity and progress.

By Nwankama Nwankama, May 23, 2024

Faith, Science, and the Resilience of Astronaut Butch Wilmore

When astronauts Butch Wilmore and Suni Williams were stranded in space for nine months, science alone wasn’t enough to sustain them. For Wilmore, faith in Jesus Christ provided the ultimate anchor. This blog explores how his deep faith, alongside his scientific expertise, challenges the false divide between science and belief in God. Read on!.

By Nwankama Nwankama, March 19, 2025

Redefining the Impossible: How Jackson and Johnson Revolutionized the Pythagorean Proof

Meet the math mavericks: Ne'Kiya Jackson and Calcea Johnson—two young African American women from the American South—are redefining what's possible in mathematics, transforming ancient theory with groundbreaking trigonometric proofs.

By Nwankama Nwankama, October 29, 2024

From Darkness to Orbit: Can Nigeria Plug Into the Sun at 36,000km?

As millions in Nigeria endure daily blackouts and noisy generators, China is preparing to beam sunlight from space. Can a country struggling to power its capital lead in this futuristic solution, or will subnational actors and private investors take the lead?

By Nwankama Nwankama, May 5, 2025

Who Loses the Tariff Wars: USA or China?

China may have a bigger GDP in terms of purchasing power (PPP)–$39.44 trillion versus the US's $30.34 trillion, but that doesn’t mean it holds the upper hand in the ongoing tariff wars. Here’s why the U.S.–China tariff war could hurt Beijing more.

By Nwankama Nwankama, April 18, 2025

From Allies to Adversaries: Trump and Musk, and Trump and Putin

Examine the surprising unraveling of once-close ties between Trump, Musk, and Putin—and discover what their fallout reveals about trust, loyalty, and human relationships.

By Nwankama Nwankama, June 7, 2025

Who Backs Iran and Israel? The Nations Fueling the Conflict Behind the Curtain

As the ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel escalates, you have wondered where the technological and military power of Iran and Israel comes from. Here are the four top backers of Iran and Israel.

By Nwankama Nwankama, June 17, 2025

My Radical Position on the Israeli and Palestinian Conflict

I had three conversations—each was radical, each was flawed—each revealed why peace between Israelis and Palestinians remains elusive. Mine isn't a neutral stance; it's a defiant one. Here's why the middle ground is revolutionary.

By Nwankama Nwankama, June 18, 2025

Doing Math Together Can be the Secret Sauce to Family Bonding (Yes, Really!): Part 1

Think math is boring? Think again! A simple family math session turned into laughter, bonding, and memories that last a lifetime. Even if you’re “not a maths person,” this story will change how you see it forever.

By Nwankama Nwankama, July 16, 2025

Bayesian Reasoning for Intelligence Analysis — From Concept to Capability

We all recognize that intelligence analysts work under mounting geopolitical uncertainty, where sovereign nations and regimes are threatened. These analysts face a constant paradox—they have too little data to work with at one moment, and far too much information the next. Signals are noisy, sources uneven, untrustworthy, and information overload can hide what truly matters. How do analysts filter wisely and reason clearly under such confusion and pressure? Well, building on insights that were evident in 2018, in this article, I explore what has changed since then. I illuminate the convergence of Bayesian reasoning and AI, demonstrating how advanced human judgment has been fused with machine intelligence to produce a robust analytic architecture capable of transforming information uncertainty into actionable intelligence.

By Nwankama Nwankama, January 8, 2025

Missiles Without Sovereignty: Why Venezuela and Iran Learned Too Late That Real Defense Cannot be Imported or Outsourced

Spectacular U.S. operations and failed Venezuelan and Iranian defenses should force nations to ask themselves a hard question: Can national sovereignty be outsourced? From penetrated air defenses that are based on Russian and Chinese technologies, to intelligence-driven U.S. strikes, recent events expose the limits of superpower weapons, political backing, military advising, and intelligence cooperation—and the hidden costs of dependence on foreign powers. This article examines why real security must be built at home, not bought abroad.

By Nwankama Nwankama, January 4, 2025

Revisiting Knowledge Elicitation & Bayesian Reasoning for National Security Decisions

In a previous post, I argued that national security today is less about accumulating information and more about anticipating how situations and threats are likely to develop over time. Intelligence advantage is no longer defined by the volume of data you collect, but by the ability to organize uncertainty, weigh competing explanations, and support timely decisions despite incomplete or contested information. In this post, I apply that argument by revisiting a high-level analytics seminar I attended in 2018, which illustrated how states can reason systematically about emerging threats even when intelligence is fragmented, degraded, or deliberately distorted by adversaries (as is often the case).

By Nwankama Nwankama, December 4, 2025

Advanced Intelligence Analysis: Strategic Foresight for National Security in an Age of Systemic Threats

National security challenges today rarely emerge suddenly. They build quietly through incremental shifts in intent, capability, and perception until options narrow or disappear. What defines the current environment is not greater uncertainty, but the speed with which leaders’ misjudgments translate into strategic losses. In this series, I begin with a simple premise: intelligence advantage is no longer defined by how much information you collect, but by how effectively you structure uncertainty and act intelligently on it. The methods I have discussed in this series are neither experimental nor speculative; they are scientific. What has changed is the intensity of today’s global threat environment—and the cost of analytic delay.

By Nwankama Nwankama, November 20, 2025

Advanced Intelligence Analysis: The Way Forward (Especially for the Developing Countries)

In today’s environment, national security threats rarely appear without warning; they evolve gradually through shifts in intent, capability, and perception. What defines today’s environment is not increased uncertainty, but the speed with which misjudgments become strategic losses. This series advances a central claim: intelligence advantage now does not lie mainly in how much information is accumulated, but in the disciplined structuring of uncertainty and timely action. The methods discussed are well-established and scientific; what has changed is the intensity of the global threat landscape and the rising cost of analytic delay. In previous postings, we examined how Bayesian knowledge elicitation enables rigorous reasoning even in the absence of data, and how such methods were already mature by 2018. The obvious next question is not whether these tools work, but who uses them—and who does not. This part confronts this question directly, focusing on Africa and other developing regions that remain largely excluded from advanced intelligence decision science.

By Nwankama Nwankama, October 15, 2025

Most Recent Blogs

Other sample intelligence analysis projects:

• The Question of a Coup: Applying Calculus in Intelligence Calculations

• National socio-digital early warning and strategic foresight architecture

• Understanding the Lockwood Analytical Method for Prediction (LAMP)

• The self-disruption project

• Intelligence training manual: Self-disruption as analytic tradecraft

• Classified-style analytic vignettes and tradecraft alignment