Projects

My projects use advanced statistical reasoning, computational and exploratory analytics, and computer-assisted methods to examine complex systems and emerging dynamics relevant to organizational and societal stability and governance. I engage the challenges of disruption, strategic advantage, and vulnerability, and judgment in high-stakes environments where collective outcomes and long-term security are closely linked.

Selected projects:

These projects exemplify our approach to advanced intelligence analysis and strategic foresight:

• National socio-digital early warning and strategic foresight architecture

• The self-disruption project

• Intelligence training manual: Self-disruption as analytic tradecraft

• Classified-style analytic vignettes and tradecraft alignment

• An innovative, purpose-built set of structured analytical exercises aligned with IC and NATO tradecraft standards that demonstrate how analysts can proactively challenge their own assumptions and methodologies within a professional intelligence framework | Go >>

• A practical intelligence tradecraft guide for identifying and mitigating unconscious bias through structured self-disruption integrated into analytic workflows | Go >>

The National Early Warning System

• Many of the most dangerous threats to 21st-century governments no longer emerge from military barracks or battlefields, but from computer keyboards and cell phones—where narratives (including false narratives) spread like a wild fire, emotions mobilize, and revolutions take shape before a single soldier moves. The Arab Spring of the early 2010s revealed a fatal blind spot: states could monitor weapons and crowds, but not the narratives, emotions, and cascading belief shifts that ignite unrest. This project responds to that gap by building a computational intelligence ecosystem—a national immune system—designed to detect, model, and prevent instability before it erupts | Go >>

Intelligence Training

Classified-Style Intelligence Analysis Vignettes and Tradecraft Alignment

• This was a highly unusual application of Whitney Johnson's four principles of self-disruption to the unconscious bias problem in intelligence analysis | Go >>

The Self-Disruption Project

Non-intelligence projects:

• Top 20 mistakes immigrant healthcare professionals make

• The Honda revolution project

• A portrayal and analysis of how customer mistreatment elsewhere ignited customer loyalty for Honda | Go >>

• Top 20 mistakes immigrant healthcare professionals make | Go >>

Immigrants' Mistakes

The Honda Revolution Project